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Week 6 Handicappers Corner

October 13, 2018

PFW’s Week 6 picks:

ARIZONA AT MINNESOTA (-10)

Bob LeGere: MIN

Eric Edholm: MIN

Arthur Arkush: MIN

Hub Arkush: MIN

L.A. CHARGERS AT CLEVELAND (PK)

BL: CLE

EE: CLE

AA: LAC

HA: LAC

CHICAGO (-3 ½) AT MIAMI

BL: CHI

EE: CHI

AA: CHI

HA: CHI

CAROLINA AT WASHINGTON (-1)

BL: CAR

EE: CAR

AA: WAS

HA: CAR

INDIANAPOLIS AT NEW YORK JETS (-2 ½)

BL: NYJ

EE: IND

AA: NYJ

HA: NYJ

PITTSBURGH AT CINCINNATI (-2)

BL: CIN

EE: PIT

AA: PIT

HA: PIT

TAMPA BAY AT ATLANTA (-3)

BL: TB

EE: ATL

AA: ATL

HA: ATL

SEATTLE (-2 ½) AT OAKLAND

BL: SEA

EE: SEA

AA: SEA

HA: SEA

BUFFALO AT HOUSTON (-10)

BL: BUF*

EE: HOU

AA: BUF*

HA: HOU

L.A. RAMS (-7) AT DENVER

BL: LAR

EE: LAR

AA: DEN*

HA: DEN*

JACKSONVILLE (-3) AT DALLAS

BL: DAL

EE: JAX

AA: JAX

HA: JAX

BALTIMORE (-2 ½) AT TENNESSSEE

BL: TEN

EE: BAL

AA: BAL

HA: TEN

KANSAS CITY AT NEW ENGLAND (-3 ½)

BL: K.C.

EE: K.C.

AA: NE

HA: K.C.*

SAN FRANCISCO AT GREEN BAY (-9 ½)

BL: S.F.*

EE: GB

AA: S.F.*

HA: GB

BEST BETS

BL: CHI

Call me a homer, accuse me of drinking the Halas Hall kool-aid … whatever. I don’t see how this one is even close. This is a well-rested Bears team coming off a bye and featuring a defense operating in full attack mode against a Dolphins O-line that is shaky even with OLT Laremy Tunsil (concussion), who has been limited all week in practice. WR DeVante Parker (quad) is also iffy, leaving QB Ryan Tannehill with marginal protection and limited weaponry. The only notable injury for the Bears is CB Prince Amukamara (hamstring), who has been limited all week, but they didn’t seem to miss him much in the 48-10 victory over the Bucs in Week Four. The Dolphins have a solid 1-2 RB combo in Frank Gore and Kenyan Drake, but the Bears are No. 1 in rushing yards allowed – and also in sack percentage and interception percentage.

EE: ATL

There are some big numbers on the board this week, and I am strangely not that deterred by them. The scariest is Houston — are they for real? — followed by the Vikings, so I stayed away from those just on principle. But my best bet is Atlanta, with a much more manageable number, and it appears the public is right along with me here with 70 percent of the betting money on them (per The Action Network). Despite Jameis Winston having a pretty good recent history against the Falcons, and even with their defense showing some real warts, I believe they will gut this Bucs defense most of the afternoon and comfortably cover the field goal. Don’t be scared off by that typical handicapping warning sign; I don’t think this game will be all that close, really.

AA: SEA

Both of Seattle’s road losses were by one score, and Pete Carroll’s club nearly knocked off the undefeated Rams at home last week. Not only have the Seahawks — left for dead by most in the preseason — remained competitive, they match up really well against Oakland, which can’t rush the passer or stop opponents on the ground. Bottom line: In a battle of rebuilding teams, one has the quarterback, coach and defense in whom we still have a fair amount of confidence. A Marshawn Lynch revenge game narrative is fun and all, but not when Chris Carson and Mike Davis are the ones running roughshod.

HA: CAR

I’m not sure what I’m missing here? I know Washington is at home, but I just don’t understand how the Panthers are getting points in a game they’re going to win, most likely comfortably. What exactly did Washington show last Monday night in New Orleans that suggests it’s ready to shut down the Panthers’ 12th-ranked scoring offense and put up enough points to beat Carolina’s 13th-ranked scoring ‘D?’ Nothing. Panthers are my lock of the week in a game I expect Newton, McCaffrey and Funchess to really enjoy.

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS

Overall / ATS / Best Bets

BL: 8-6 / 6-7-1 / 0-1

EE: 9-5 / 7-6-1 / 0-1

AA: 9-5 / 5-8-1 / 0-1

HA: 9-5 / 7-6-1 / 0-1

SEASON RESULTS

BL: 44-26-2 / 37-31-4 / 2-3

EE: 45-25-2 / 30-36-6 / 2-2-1

AA: 44-26-2 / 33-34-5 / 3-2

HA: 41-19-2 / 33-34-5 / 2-3

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