AP NEWS

VoteCast: Iowa voters say nation headed wrong way

November 7, 2018

Voters casting midterm election ballots in Iowa are divided over the state of the nation, according to a wide-ranging survey of the American electorate.

As voters cast ballots for governor and members of Congress in Tuesday’s elections, AP VoteCast found that 45 percent of Iowa voters said the country is on the right track, compared with 55 percent who said the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and why in Iowa, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, an innovative nationwide survey of about 139,000 voters and nonvoters _ including 817 voters and 187 nonvoters in the state of Iowa _ conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.

___

RACE FOR GOVERNOR

Voters under 45 were split between Republican Kim Reynolds and Democrat Fred Hubbell in the race for governor. Voters ages 45 and older were split.

Voters without a college degree were split over Reynolds and Hubbell. Likewise, college graduates were divided.

___

TOP ISSUE: HEALTH CARE

Health care was at the forefront of voters’ minds: 30 percent named it as the most important issue facing the nation in this year’s midterm elections. Others considered immigration (23 percent), the economy (18 percent), the environment (8 percent) and gun policy (5 percent) to be the top issue.

___

STATE OF THE ECONOMY

Voters have a positive view of the nation’s current economic outlook _ 69 percent said the nation’s economy is good, compared with 31 percent who said it’s not good.

___

TRUMP FACTOR

For 45 percent of Iowa voters, President Donald Trump was not a factor they considered while casting their votes. By comparison, 23 percent said a reason for their vote was to express support for Trump, and 32 percent said they voted to express opposition to Trump.

Voters in Iowa had mixed views of Trump: 46 percent said they approve of how he is handling his job as president, while 54 percent said they disapprove of Trump.

___

AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate in all 50 states conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey of 817 voters and 187 nonvoters in Iowa was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 6, concluding as polls close on Election Day. Interviews in English and Spanish with self-identified registered voters selected from opt-in online panels are calibrated with interviews of randomly sampled registered voters nationwide. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 9.8 percentage points. Although there is no statistically agreed upon approach for calculating margins of error for non-probability samples, the margin of error is estimated using a calculation called the root mean squared error and other statistical adjustments. All surveys are subject to multiple sources of error, including from sampling, question wording and order, and nonresponse. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at http://www.ap.org/votecast.

___

AP created this story automatically using data from NORC.

___

Online:

For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. midterm elections: http://apne.ws/APPolitics

AP RADIO
Update hourly