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VoteCast: New Hampshire voters say nation headed wrong way

November 7, 2018

A majority of voters casting midterm election ballots in New Hampshire said the country is headed in the wrong direction, according to a wide-ranging survey of the American electorate.

As voters cast ballots for governor and members of Congress in Tuesday’s elections, AP VoteCast found that 38 percent of New Hampshire voters said the country is on the right track, compared with 61 percent who said the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and why in New Hampshire, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, an innovative nationwide survey of about 139,000 voters and nonvoters _ including 2,753 voters and 525 nonvoters in the state of New Hampshire _ conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.

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RACE FOR GOVERNOR

Democrat Molly Kelly appeared to lead Republican Chris Sununu among voters under 45 in the race for governor. Voters ages 45 and older leaned toward Sununu.

Voters without a college degree favored Sununu. By contrast, college graduates were divided.

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TOP ISSUE: HEALTH CARE

Health care was at the forefront of voters’ minds: 27 percent named it as the most important issue facing the nation in this year’s midterm elections. Others considered immigration (19 percent), the economy (18 percent), the environment (11 percent) and gun policy (8 percent) to be the top issue.

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STATE OF THE ECONOMY

Voters have a positive view of the nation’s current economic outlook _ 69 percent said the nation’s economy is good, compared with 30 percent who said it’s not good.

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TRUMP FACTOR

For 37 percent of New Hampshire voters, President Donald Trump was not a factor they considered while casting their votes. By comparison, 20 percent said a reason for their vote was to express support for Trump, and 42 percent said they voted to express opposition to Trump.

A majority of voters in New Hampshire had negative views of Trump: 60 percent said they disapprove of how he is handling his job as president, while 40 percent said they approve of Trump.

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STAYING AT HOME

In New Hampshire, 67 percent of registered voters who chose not to vote in the midterm election were younger than 45. A wide share of those who did not vote _ 77 percent _ did not have a college degree. About as many nonvoters were Democrats (27 percent) as Republicans (35 percent).

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AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate in all 50 states conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey of 2,753 voters and 525 nonvoters in New Hampshire was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 6, concluding as polls close on Election Day. It combines interviews in English or Spanish with a random sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files and self-identified registered voters selected from opt-in online panels. Participants in the probability-based portion of the survey were contacted by phone and mail, and had the opportunity to take the survey by phone or online. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. All surveys are subject to multiple sources of error, including from sampling, question wording and order, and nonresponse. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at http://www.ap.org/votecast.

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AP created this story automatically using data from NORC.

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For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. midterm elections: http://apne.ws/APPolitics

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