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Grothman hoping any blue wave bypasses usually safe district

November 1, 2018
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U.S. Representative Glenn Grothman adjusts his collar during a campaign stop at the GOP headquarters, Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018, in Sheboygan, Wis. Grothman and Eric Trump was in Sheboygan to rally support for Wisconsin Republicans.(Gary C. Klein/The Post-Crescent via AP)

MARKESAN, Wis. (AP) — Wisconsin Republican U.S. Rep. Glenn Grothman hasn’t lost a race in 24 years in politics and his district has voted for a Democrat only once since the 1960s.

Any other year, another Grothman victory would be nearly certain. But with the specter of a so-called blue wave of heavy Democratic turnout, Republicans aren’t taking it for granted — even in a district President Donald Trump carried by 17 points in 2016.

Grothman’s challenger, Dan Kohl, is banking on timing being on his side.

“We live in a different moment in our nation’s history right now,” said Kohl, 53.

Grothman, 63, a staunchly conservative former attorney, has said he’s in the toughest race of his career. He knows midterms are historically unkind to the party that holds the White House.

“You have to look at that and worry about that,” said Grothman, who served in the Wisconsin Assembly and the state Senate before being elected to Congress in 2014.

Although timing could help Kohl, he’s still campaigning in a deeply conservative area of the state. The last time a Democrat held the 6th District — which spans 10 counties north and west of Milwaukee — was in 1964. It was only for one term.

Mordecai Lee, a Democratic former state lawmaker and professor emeritus at the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, said it would take more than a blue wave to carry Kohl to victory.

“It would have to be a tsunami,” he said.

Kohl is a nephew of former Wisconsin Sen. Herb Kohl, a philanthropist and former owner of the Milwaukee Bucks. The younger Kohl managed the Bucks’ salary cap for a period during his uncle’s ownership. He previously helped raise money for Hillary Clinton and former President Barack Obama but has never held elected office himself, having lost a bid for the Wisconsin Assembly 10 years ago.

Two issues Kohl is hoping will resonate with voters and bring them to his side are health care and the Republicans’ tax package passed late last year. He’s made both topics part of the stump speech he gives at different events, telling voters the country’s wealthiest are the real beneficiaries of the new tax law, and warning that people with pre-existing conditions will lose coverage if Republicans repeal the Affordable Care Act. Grothman says he supports health insurance protections for people with pre-existing conditions.

“All I can tell you is people are very concerned about the direction of our country,” said Kohl, moments after speaking at a luncheon in Oshkosh with retirees from an autoworkers union.

Half of Wisconsin voters disapprove of President Donald Trump, according to a late October Marquette University Law School poll. But given the makeup of Grothman’s district, he doesn’t have to shy away from supporting the president.

Speaking to a group at an assisted living facility in Markesan in early October, Grothman told residents the economy is “the best in our lifetime.” He said Trump doesn’t get enough credit because the media doesn’t like him, though he acknowledged Trump’s tweets “can get a little bit immature.”

The Republican tax package will be good for the economy, he tells residents, and he supports the president’s idea of a border wall, saying that “while we love immigrants,” the U.S. “can’t just open the border to everybody under the sun because America would be done.”

Antoinette Jansen, 57, vice president of the Suburban Republican Women’s Club of Milwaukee, said she likes Grotham’s accessibility. A few months ago, she got a call from a number she didn’t recognize.

“I just picked it up and he said, ‘Oh hi, this is Glenn.’ And I thought it was our neighbor complaining about something,” Jansen recalled.

Instead, Grothman wanted Jansen’s thoughts on his job performance.

“It wasn’t one of these calls, ‘Will you give me money?’” Jansen said. “It was, ‘How am I doing?’”

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For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. midterm elections: http://apne.ws/APPolitics

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