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Hart, Bush Lead In Michigan News Media Surveys

January 24, 1988

DETROIT (AP) _ Michigan voters, responding to separate public opinion polls published Sunday, favored Republican Vice President George Bush and Democrat Gary Hart for their parties’ presidential nominations.

The survey of 1,202 registered voters, conducted for The Detroit News, gave Hart a 29 percent margin of support, followed by Jesse Jackson with 22 percent and Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis with 12 percent.

Among Democrats only, Hart was favored by 36 percent; Jackson, 24 percent; Dukakis, 12 percent; the other four declared candidates, each less than 5 percent, the survey said.

A poll of 316 Michigan voters who said they usually vote Republican found 49 percent favored Bush, while 23 preferred Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole. The Republican poll was conducted last week for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV by Charles Hakes Marketing & Research and had a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points.

The News poll found four other candidates - U.S. Sen. Paul Simon, former Arizona Gov. Bruce Babbitt, U.S. Rep. Richard Gephardt and U.S. Sen. Albert Gore - each drew between 2 percent and 5 percent. Another 23 percent of those polled were undecided or favored candidates not in the race.

The telephone survey, conducted Jan. 15-18 by the Gordon S. Black Corp. on behalf of The News, had a margin of error of 5 percentage points. The News survey included responses by independents and Republicans as well as Democrats, the newspaper said.

Michigan Democrats allocate 150 national convention delegates based on results of statewide caucuses on March 26. The caucuses are open to any registered voter willing to sign a public statement declaring they are a Democrat.

In the Free Press-WXYZ survey, former television evangelist Pat Robertson and U.S. Rep Jack Kemp of New York each garnered 7 percent; Alexander Haig had 2 percent, and 12 percent of the voters either were undecided, preferred other candidates or indicated no preference, the survey said.

The survey was conducted last week for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV by Charles Hakes Marketing & Research of Southfield. The poll had a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points.

Those polled also said they would prefer voting in a primary election, rather than continuing the long and complicated delegate selection process now under way in Michigan.

The state GOP convention to select delegates to the 1988 Republican National Convention opens Friday, but already the party’s process has been tied in knots by political warfare, courtroom maneuvering and challenges to selection of most of the state convention delegates.

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