US consumer spending up solid 0.6 pct. in November
Dec. 23, 2014
WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. consumer spending rose at the fastest pace in three months in November, while income posted the best gain in five months — both encouraging signs for economic growth.
The Commerce Department said Tuesday that consumer spending increased 0.6 percent in November, double the 0.3 percent October gain and the best showing since August.
Income, helped by a surge of hiring in November, rose 0.4 percent after a 0.3 percent October rise. It was the best showing since a similar rise in June.
Consumer spending is closely watched because it accounts for about 70 percent of economic activity. The government revised higher spending in each month beginning in July. Those revisions contributed to a boost in overall growth to a sizzling 5 percent rate in the third quarter.
Economists think growth will slow to around a 2.5 percent annual rate in the current October-December period, but they believe the economy will remain solid in 2015.
Analysts had forecast a pickup in consumer spending in November based on an earlier report that retail sales jumped 0.7 percent during the month, the best showing in eight months.
The retail sales report showed that cheaper gas and an improving job market put consumers in a buying mood in November.
The National Retail Federation has forecast that holiday sales will rise 4.1 percent this year compared with 2013. That would be the biggest gain in three years.
For November, the 0.6 percent rise in spending reflected a 1.6 percent in spending on durable goods such as autos and a flat reading for spending on nondurable goods such as clothing. Spending on services showed a 0.6 percent rise, the fourth straight month of solid gains, reflecting in part increased spending on health services.
The slightly faster increase in spending compared with income in November meant that the personal saving rate slipped to 4.4 percent, down from 4.6 percent in October.
Prices, as measured by a gauge tied to spending patterns, increased just 1.2 percent in November compared with a year ago, down from a 1.4 percent 12-month rise in October. It was the smallest yearly gain since last March, and it left prices rising well below the 2 percent target set by the Federal Reserve.
Inflation is expected to remain muted when measured by a gauge tied to consumer spending that is closely watched by the Fed. After ending a policy meeting last year, the Fed said it would remain "patient" in deciding when to start raising interest rates.
With inflation remaining below the Fed's target of 2 percent, many economists think it will be in no hurry to start raising interest rates even though unemployment, now at 5.8 percent, is nearing the Fed's goal of 5.2 to 5.5 percent.
Most economists think consumer spending will keep advancing in 2015 and support economic growth of 3 percent or more, making 2015 the best year for growth in a decade.