VoteCast: Oregon voters say nation headed wrong way

November 7, 2018

A majority of voters casting midterm election ballots in Oregon said the country is headed in the wrong direction, according to a wide-ranging survey of the American electorate.

As voters cast ballots for governor and members of Congress in Tuesday’s elections, AP VoteCast found that 34 percent of Oregon voters said the country is on the right track, compared with 66 percent who said the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and why in Oregon, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, an innovative nationwide survey of about 139,000 voters and nonvoters _ including 879 voters and 131 nonvoters in the state of Oregon _ conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.



Voters under 45 were split between Democrat Kate Brown and Republican Knute Buehler in the race for governor. Voters ages 45 and older were divided.

Voters without a college degree were divided over Brown and Buehler. On the other hand, college graduates leaned toward Brown.



Health care was at the forefront of voters’ minds: 29 percent named it as the most important issue facing the nation in this year’s midterm elections. Others considered immigration (23 percent), the economy (15 percent), the environment (12 percent) and gun policy (9 percent) to be the top issue.



Voters have a positive view of the nation’s current economic outlook _ 64 percent said the nation’s economy is good, compared with 36 percent who said it’s not good.



For 46 percent of Oregon voters, President Donald Trump was not a factor they considered while casting their votes. By comparison, 18 percent said a reason for their vote was to express support for Trump, and 36 percent said they voted to express opposition to Trump.

A majority of voters in Oregon had negative views of Trump: 61 percent said they disapprove of how he is handling his job as president, while 39 percent said they approve of Trump.


AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate in all 50 states conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey of 879 voters and 131 nonvoters in Oregon was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 6, concluding as polls close on Election Day. Interviews in English and Spanish with self-identified registered voters selected from opt-in online panels are calibrated with interviews of randomly sampled registered voters nationwide. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 9.9 percentage points. Although there is no statistically agreed upon approach for calculating margins of error for non-probability samples, the margin of error is estimated using a calculation called the root mean squared error and other statistical adjustments. All surveys are subject to multiple sources of error, including from sampling, question wording and order, and nonresponse. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at http://www.ap.org/votecast.


AP created this story automatically using data from NORC.



For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. midterm elections: http://apne.ws/APPolitics

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