Democrats Dominate New Election Poll
U.S. Sen. Bob Casey and Gov. Tom Wolf continue to enjoy wide leads over their opponents as they seek re-election, according to a new Franklin & Marshall College poll released Wednesday.
Casey led U.S. Rep. Lou Barletta, the Republican nominee from Hazleton, by a 48 percent to 30 percent margin among registered voters, a margin virtually identical to an August F&M poll.
Wolf, of York County, led former state Sen. Scott Wagner, also of York County, by 52 percent to 28 percent, a margin 5 percentage points wider than last month.
“We are, in Pennsylvania right now, in the midst of a blue wave. The only question is, is it light, medium or dark blue,” said G. Terry Madonna, PhD., the poll director, using the color associated with Democrats.
More Democrats (64 percent) are “very interested” in the upcoming Nov. 6 midterm election than Republicans (58 percent) and independents (49 percent).
The poll surveyed 545 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 6.1 percentage points. The poll used a list of registered voters chosen randomly and interviewed over the telephone or online, depending on their preference, with results weighted mathematically to properly reflect state voter demographics.
More than half of voters (54 percent) have a favorable view of Wolf with only a third (33 percent) having unfavorable views. By comparison, fewer than a quarter (22 percent) see Wagner favorably, fewer than a third (31 percent) see him unfavorably while two in five voters (40 percent) still don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. Half (50 percent) think Wolf is doing a good or excellent job while slightly less than that (45 percent) say he’s doing a fair or poor job.
Four in 10 voters (40 percent) see Casey favorably compared to almost three in 10 (28 percent) who view him unfavorably and more than a quarter (26 percent) are still uncertain what to think of him. More than four in 10 (42 percent) think Casey is doing a good or excellent job while a bit more than that (45 percent) think he’s doing a fair or poor job.
Only two in 10 voters (20 percent) view Barletta favorably while more than that (22 percent) view him unfavorably and more than half (51 percent) still do not know what they think.
The main motivation to vote continues to center on President Donald Trump — with 74 percent of voters planning to back a Democratic candidate saying they are mainly voting against Trump and congressional Republicans and 80 percent of Republican candidate supporters saying they want to support Trump and congressional Republicans.
Fewer than four in 10 voters (37 percent) think Trump is doing a good or excellent job with almost two-thirds (63 percent) believing he’s doing a fair or poor job.
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