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VoteCast: Wyoming voters say nation headed right way

November 7, 2018

A majority of voters casting midterm election ballots in Wyoming said the country is headed in the right direction, according to a wide-ranging survey of the American electorate.

As voters cast ballots for governor, U.S. Senate and members of Congress in Tuesday’s elections, AP VoteCast found that 59 percent of Wyoming voters said the country is on the right track, compared with 41 percent who said the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and why in Wyoming, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, an innovative nationwide survey of about 138,000 voters and nonvoters _ including 377 voters and 155 nonvoters in the state of Wyoming _ conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.

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RACE FOR SENATE

In the race for Senate, Republican John Barrasso led Democrat Gary Trauner among voters under 45; likewise, those ages 45 and older were more likely to support Barrasso.

Voters with a college education leaned toward Barrasso. In addition, voters without a college degree were more likely to favor Barrasso.

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RACE FOR GOVERNOR

Republican Mark Gordon had a sizable advantage over Democrat Mary Throne among voters under 45 in the race for governor. Voters ages 45 and older favored Gordon.

Voters without a college degree were more likely to support Gordon. Similarly, college graduates preferred Gordon.

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TOP ISSUE: THE ECONOMY

The economy was at the forefront of voters’ minds: 29 percent named it as the most important issue facing the nation in this year’s midterm elections. And voters have a positive view of the nation’s current economic outlook _ 61 percent of voters said the nation’s economy is good, compared with 36 percent who said it’s not good.

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BEYOND THE ECONOMY

Voters named several other issues facing the nation as most important. In addition to 29 percent who called out the economy as most important, 23 percent named immigration, 19 percent named health care, 7 percent named terrorism and 6 percent named the environment.

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TRUMP FACTOR

For 30 percent of Wyoming voters, President Donald Trump was not a factor they considered while casting their votes. By comparison, 47 percent said a reason for their vote was to express support for Trump, and 22 percent said they voted to express opposition to Trump.

A majority of voters in Wyoming had positive views of Trump: 67 percent said they approve of how he is handling his job as president, while 33 percent said they disapprove of Trump.

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CONTROL OF CONGRESS

Tuesday’s elections will determine control of Congress in the final two years of Trump’s first term in office, and 63 percent of Wyoming voters said which party will hold control was very important as they considered their vote. Another 27 percent said it was somewhat important.

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AP VoteCast is a survey of the American electorate in all 50 states conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press and Fox News. The survey of 377 voters and 155 nonvoters in Wyoming was conducted Oct. 29 to Nov. 6, concluding as polls close on Election Day. Interviews in English and Spanish with self-identified registered voters selected from opt-in online panels are calibrated with interviews of randomly sampled registered voters nationwide. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 12.0 percentage points. Although there is no statistically agreed upon approach for calculating margins of error for non-probability samples, the margin of error is estimated using a calculation called the root mean squared error and other statistical adjustments. All surveys are subject to multiple sources of error, including from sampling, question wording and order, and nonresponse. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at http://www.ap.org/votecast.

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AP created this story automatically using data from NORC.

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For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. midterm elections: http://apne.ws/APPolitics

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